Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.000855 0.000900 0.000945 0.000995 0.001048 0.001104 0.001165
2025-08-17 0.000767 0.000830 0.000896 0.000972 0.001055 0.001145 0.001249
2025-08-24 0.000708 0.000782 0.000864 0.000958 0.001067 0.001187 0.001331
2025-08-31 0.000669 0.000753 0.000846 0.000958 0.001089 0.001239 0.001423
2025-09-07 0.000631 0.000721 0.000823 0.000948 0.001097 0.001272 0.001493
2025-09-14 0.000601 0.000696 0.000805 0.000942 0.001108 0.001306 0.001563
2025-09-21 0.000573 0.000672 0.000787 0.000932 0.001113 0.001333 0.001624
2025-09-28 0.000547 0.000648 0.000767 0.000921 0.001114 0.001354 0.001677
2025-10-05 0.000518 0.000620 0.000741 0.000898 0.001100 0.001354 0.001702
2025-10-12 0.000500 0.000603 0.000727 0.000891 0.001105 0.001377 0.001757
2025-10-19 0.000483 0.000587 0.000715 0.000885 0.001109 0.001399 0.001811
2025-10-26 0.000473 0.000581 0.000714 0.000893 0.001132 0.001446 0.001901
2025-11-02 0.000458 0.000567 0.000703 0.000889 0.001142 0.001478 0.001974
2025-11-09 0.000438 0.000546 0.000683 0.000872 0.001131 0.001483 0.002008
2025-11-16 0.000422 0.000530 0.000668 0.000861 0.001130 0.001499 0.002060
2025-11-23 0.000411 0.000520 0.000662 0.000861 0.001143 0.001536 0.002144
2025-11-30 0.000397 0.000506 0.000649 0.000853 0.001143 0.001554 0.002200
2025-12-07 0.000386 0.000495 0.000639 0.000847 0.001147 0.001577 0.002265
2025-12-14 0.000374 0.000483 0.000628 0.000839 0.001147 0.001594 0.002321
2025-12-21 0.000362 0.000470 0.000616 0.000829 0.001143 0.001605 0.002367
2025-12-28 0.000347 0.000454 0.000597 0.000809 0.001125 0.001593 0.002375
2026-01-04 0.000338 0.000444 0.000588 0.000803 0.001126 0.001611 0.002433
2026-01-11 0.000330 0.000436 0.000580 0.000798 0.001128 0.001629 0.002491